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RERA may revive real estate sector in second half, say experts

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New Delhi, April 10 : After May 1, when the Real Estate Regulatory Authority (RERA) is in place, the realty sector will likely see an uptrend with slight price correction, say industry players and stakeholders.

This is likely as genuine buyers may pitch in on the back of an improved consumer climate and lower home loan rates.

“Considering the present scenario, the next three-four months are like the gestation period for the realty sector and after six months the sector is likely to gain momentum. We are hoping to see positive impact in the second half of 2017 itself after RERA comes into full effect,” real estate advisory firm PropUrban Founder and CEO Mir Jaffer Ali told IANS.

According to the Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act, 2016, which came into effect on May 1 last year, every state is supposed to have a RERA in a year’s time.

It will thereon become mandatory for all real estate projects, commercial and residential, to register with RERA for transparent execution.

“At a time when the setting up of a Real Estate Regulatory Authority in each state is set to bring in increased accountability in the markets, we can expect to witness some amount of correction in real estate prices in markets,” property consultant Cushman & Wakefield Managing Director (India) Anshul Jain told IANS.

Ali concurred and said that the cash component in property transactions will see a significant drop, resulting in a fall in land prices, which could be anywhere between 15 and 20 per cent at some places.

On a positive note, almost all banks have also lowered the home loan interest rates post demonetisation which would automatically generate more demand for housing with the sops given to affordable housing in this year’s Union Budget being an added advantage.

The start of 2017 has seen buyer sentiment improve and the anticipation is that with a positive electoral result and encouraging budgetary reforms, the sector should perform better over the course of the year.

Large developers such as the Lodha Group have seen sales of 850 units in February 2017, which indicates a gradual upward trend in consumer sentiment across the segment.

More so, with the dust of demonetisation finally settling, buyers’ sentiments are looking positive in anticipation of higher transparency and efficiency. Genuine requirement for homes coupled with reduced interest on home loans can be attributed to this.

According to a survey by PropUrban, once RERA is fully in place, about 45 per cent respondents would be investing within the next six months, while another 26 per cent are likely to take the plunge within a year.

“Interestingly, now the market will see the return of ‘real buyers’. As for the RERA and Benami Amendment Act, the sector is likely to see positive impact in the short-term — within one-two years,” Ali said.

Moreover, with the deadline of implementing RERA fast approaching, developers are trying to focus on completing their existing projects rather than launching new ones, which is good for the sector and buyers, he added.

With RERA, there would be mandatory disclosure of project details, including those of the promoter, project, land status and clearances. This would increase the credibility of developers and would protect consumer rights as well.

Dharmesh Jain, President, Confederation of Real Estate Developers’ Associations of India — Maharashtra Chamber of Housing Industry (CREDAI-MCHI), told IANS that RERA “will help in bringing in higher transparency and will help the customer to get possession in time. Also, one will know what they are paying for and would be sure they will get what they are promised. In fact, the developers will have to be accountable on the dates and timelines shared”.

Additionally, buyers and developers will now finally be on a level playing field with respect to penalties on delays. Both parties will now pay the same rate of interest in case the buyer delays payment or the developer delays giving possession.

“RERA is a long-term policy measure whose effect will be pretty permanent, in the sense that it will drive unscrupulous or unorganised developers off the market and leave a level playing field for credible players in its wake,” Ramesh Nair, CEO and Country Head of leading property consultant JLL India, told IANS.

“We are now seeing evidence of a gradual revival on the back of pro-consumer measures like RERA coming in, decisive court actions against errant developers, price corrections and renewed confidence in the economy,” he said.

Shubika Bilkha, Business Head, Real Estate Management Institute (REMI), told IANS, “These initiatives will contribute to organising this sector that has been traditionally fragmented and unorganised, while improving consumer confidence.”

By : Meghna Mittal

(Meghna Mittal can be reached at [email protected])

Analysis

Actual sugarcane FRP hike is Rs 6, not 20: Agri activists

The government has approved a premium of Rs 2.75 per quintal for each 0.1 per cent increase in the recovery over and above 10 per cent.

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New Delhi, July 18 (IANS) The government’s decision on Wednesday to increase the Fair and Remunerative Price (FRP) for sugarcane for 2018-19 (October-September) season by Rs 20 to Rs 275 for a quintal comes with a rider that the new rate will be applicable only when the recovery rate is 10 per cent.

The recovery rate — of sugar from sugarcane — was 9.5 per cent when the government had fixed the FRP of Rs 255 for a quintal in 2017-18.

If the recovery rate of 9.5 per cent is considered for 2018-19, the farmers will get only Rs 261.25, which is a hike of roughly Rs 6.25, on year-on-year basis.

According to Union Food Minister Ram Vilas Paswan, 295 mills of the total 550-odd mills in the country have reported recovery rate of over 10 per cent.

“Earlier, the recovery rate was 9.5 per cent. But it is increasing now. There are 295 mills which have reported over 10 per cent recovery rate, 82 have between 9.5 and 10 per cent, while there are only 127 mills that have below 10 per cent recovery rate. As the majority is of 10 per cent, we have gone with it (while fixing the FRP),” Paswan told reporters here.

The average national recovery rate is 10.51 per cent, while it is 10.20 per cent and 11.47 per cent in major sugar producing states of Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra, respectively, he said.

However, agriculture activists called the hike in the FRP “shameful”, saying the actual hike would be below 3 per cent.

“It’s like peanuts. It is not even 3 per cent since expenses on electricity, labour and fertlizer have gone up significantly. The hike should have been done rationally,” said V.M. Singh, president of Rashtriya Kisan Majdoor Party.

He said the remuneration at 10 per cent recovery rate in 2017-18 was Rs 268, which means the actual hike is only of Rs 7 this year.

There are about five crore sugarcane farmers in the country and about five lakh workers are directly employed in sugar mills.

The total remittance to sugarcane farmers by the millers would be over Rs 83,000 crore.

The government has approved a premium of Rs 2.75 per quintal for each 0.1 per cent increase in the recovery over and above 10 per cent.

According to the government, the production cost of sugarcane for 2018-19 is pegged at Rs 155 per quintal, so the FRP of Rs 275 per quintal would provide a return of 77.42 per cent.

The FRP is determined on the basis of recommendations of the Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices (CACP).

Paswan said there will not be any reduction in case recovery rate goes below 9.5 per cent and farmers will get Rs 261.25 per quintal.

As per the Food Ministry’s figures, the cane arrears, which stood at Rs 14,538 crore at FRP (Rs 23,232 crore at state advisory price – SAP) on May 21, has come down to Rs 9,319 crore (Rs 17,824 at SAP) following the various steps taken by the government in May including the Rs 7,000-crore package.

“Our top priority is farmers. To ensure that millers can pay farmers their dues, we give them such facilities,” Paswan said.

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Chidambaram slams government over ‘economic mismanagement’

“After 5-month-high inflation and 7-month-low industrial growth comes the news of soaring trade deficit.”

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New Delhi, July 14 : Senior Congress leader P. Chidambaram on Friday slammed the government over its poor management of economy, saying inflation is at five-month high, industrial growth at five-month low and the trade deficit has soared.

Chidambaram, a former Finance Minister, said in tweets that exports were lower in June compared to May and the imports higher.

He said despite the higher trade deficit, the government would continue to say that all is well.

“After 5-month-high inflation and 7-month-low industrial growth comes the news of soaring trade deficit.”

“June exports lower than May. June imports higher than May. June trade deficit higher by $2 billion. But the government will say all is well,” he said.

Chidambaram said the Congress leaders had estimated that demonetisation would lead to a cut in growth rate by 1.5 per cent and the outgoing Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian has said that purging high currency notes in November 2016 led to a definite slowing down of economy.

The official data showed on Thursday that retail inflation in India touched the 5 per cent-mark in June, compared to 4.87 per cent in May, even as industrial output in May grew at 3.2 per cent compared to the same month last year but declined as compared to rise of 4.9 per cent in April mainly on account of a decline in manufacturing.

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Online hiring for government jobs fell 20% in June: Report

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New Delhi, July 5: Online recruitment activity for government services, including public sector enterprises and defence sector, declined by 20 per cent in June on a year-on-year basis, a monster.com report said here on Thursday.

Overall online recruitment in June 2018 fell by three per cent on a year-on-year basis and eight per cent compared with May 2018, the Monster Employment Index for June 2018 said.

“Printing and packaging sector witnessed the steepest decline — 27 per cent year-on-year basis and 15 per cent month-on-month basis,” the report said.

In the agriculture-based industries, online hiring declined by 19 per cent in June 2018, compared with June 2017.

However, the production and manufacturing segment registered a 49 per cent rise in online recruitment. Home appliances segment registered a 27 per cent fall.

“Production and manufacturing (up 49 per cent) led all monitored industry sectors by the way of long-term growth for the third month in succession,” the report said.

IANS

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