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Oil prices, foreign fund flows to set course of equity indices 



Sensex Nifty Equity

Mumbai, Nov 18: Fluctuation in crude oil prices coupled with the direction of foreign fund flows are likely to chart the course of major domestic equity indices next week.

According to market observers, other factors such as rupee’s movement against the US dollar and expectations of measures from the Reserve Bank of India’s board meet to resolve the liquidity crisis will also influence investor sentiments.

However, state elections-related anxiety could ignite volatility, they felt.

“Investors will continue to watch the movement of rupee, crude oil prices and foreign fund flows,” said SMC Investments & Advisors Chairman and Managing Director D.K. Aggarwal.

“Next week, Nifty is expected to trade between 10,500-10,900 points, while bank Nifty is expected to move in the range of 25,800-26,600 points.”

Over the recent past, fears of a global slowdown and excess stockpile subdued the benchmark Brent crude price. It closed last week’s trade at $67.74 from $86 a barrel level which was touched in early October.

The fall in crude oil prices assumes significance as it eases India’s concerns over inflation, fiscal and current account deficit. The country is the third-largest importer of crude oil in the world.

Apart from crude oil prices, the direction of foreign fund flows will set the course of the key indices.

Last week’s provisional investment figures from the stock exchanges showed that foreign institutional investors bought scrips worth Rs 3,502.46 crore which was 22 times more than the previous week.

Over the last month, uncertain domestic and global economic growth outlook as well as a sharp decline in rupee value had triggered a massive fund outflow.

Another key area for investor’s interest will be the rupee’s price movement against the US dollar. Lately, lower crude oil prices and healthy macro-data have aided the rupee to recover.

On a weekly basis, the Indian rupee strengthened by 57 paise to 71.92 per US dollar from its previous week’s close of Rs 72.49 per greenback.

“Market has largely factored a gradual downgrade in earnings in the second half of FY19,” said Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services.

“While investors are looking for major triggers for a decisive up move above 10,700 points level, stability in INR and oil prices will provide direction to the market despite election-led uncertainty.”

On technical charts, NSE Nifty50’s northward trajectory will face resistance at 10,755 points level.

“Technically, Nifty seems to have resumed the northward movement this week after breaching the 10,645 points level,” said Deepak Jasani, Head of Retail Research for HDFC Securities.

“The next resistance for Nifty is at 10,755 points and 10,843 points, while 10,440 points could provide support.”

Last week, a slide in global crude oil prices, along with a healthy influx of foreign funds and a strengthened rupee buoyed the Indian equity market indices.

Accordingly, the S&P BSE Sensex gained 298.61 points, or 0.8 per cent, to close at 35,457.16 points.

Similarly, the 50-share Nifty of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) advanced 97 points, or 0.91 per cent, to settle at 10,682.20 points.(IANS)


Sensex, Nifty open higher



Sensex equity Nifty

Mumbai, Feb 15: The Sensex gained close to 140 points after opening higher on Friday while the Nifty logged slight gains to trade above the 10,750 mark.

Utilities, oil and gas and power stocks gained on the BSE while key sectors like finance and banking traded lower.

The BSE Sensex opened at 35,985.68 from its previous close at 35,876.22 on Thursday.

At 9.16 a.m., the Sensex traded at 36,014.08 higher by 137.86 points or 0.38 per cent.

The Nifty of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) opened lower at 10,930.90 after closing at 10,943.60 on Thursday.

The Nifty traded at 10,752.15 during the morning trade session, up 6.10 points and 0.06 per cent.

On Thursday, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers and the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers.

FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 250.23 crore while the DIIs bought stocks to the tune of Rs 1,225.24 crore.


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Rahul says GST killed Gujarat’s economic base



Rahul Gandhi

Lal Dungri (South Gujarat), Feb 14 (IANS) Congress President Rahul Gandhi on Thursday established a connect with the crowds here in Gujarat, scoffing at Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s development claims in his home state and alleging that GST had killed the state’s small and medium scale businessmen who were its true pillars.

“Sardar ney humko rasta dikhaya tha, Mahatma Gandhi ney rasta dikhaya tha, ab Gujarat ke log firse dikhayenge kaise logon ko ek karte hain, sahi vikas kya hain (Sardar showed us the way, Gandhi showed us the way, now people of Gujarat will once again show how to unite the country, what is real development),” he declared to loud applause.

As the crowds listened in rapt attention, Gandhi made an sentimental appeal: “Gujarat has given immense love and respect to me, I will never forget this. There is nothing bigger for me. I love to come here as many as times as possible. I love the people of Gujarat, I love the food here.”

As the crowds cheered and whistled, he said: “Whenever Gujarat calls me, I will be there. Wherever I am, I promise, whenever you call me I will come.”

Taunting Modi’s ‘Mann Ki Baat’ radio programme, the Congress chief added, addressing the crowd: “You are our masters. The farmers, the tribals, the downtrodden are our masters. Not Anil Ambani, not Nirav Modi, not Vijay Mallya.”

There was loud applause when he referred to Jay Shah, son of BJP President Amit Shah.

“He converted Rs 700 crore black money into white through a cooperative bank (Ahmedabad District Cooperative Bank of which Amit Shah is a director). But Narendra Modi will not speak about this,” he asserted.

Just as Gandhi exhorted the crowds to shout after him “chowkidar chor hai” he said: “Delhi mein kehte hain chor hai, Gujarati mein bolte hain Chor Chhey.” The people broke into huge laughter and some shouted back “mahachor chhey” and “paako chor chhey”.

Gandhi said “Modi’s Gabbar Singh Tax (Goods and Services Tax)” had sounded the death knell of the small and medium scale businessmen who were the true pillars of Gujarat’s economic prowess. And GST came as an insult to injury to the common men after demonetization, he added.

“The UPA government in 2019 will bring real GST, where it will be a truly simple tax and truly one tax, not the present version.”

Gandhi said the Congress brought National Rural Employment Guarantee Act, Food Security Act and a progressive and people-oriented land acquisition law. “And now we are coming with a concept of guaranteed income.

“Under this, money will be directly transferred in your bank account… We have been planning for this for over three to four months.”

Referring to the Bharatmala project, Gandhi said it was “bharat-maara not Bharatmala” through which lands of farmers and poor were being snatched.

He challenged the BJP government to implement the Land Acquisition Act which the UPA government had brought in 2013. “We implemented it in Chhattisgarh immediately after our party came to power. Our government got the Tatas to return thousands of acres of unused land according to the law,” Gandhi added.

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Market down for sixth-straight session; Sensex falls 157 pts




Mumbai, Feb 14: Sharp jump in Brent crude oil price along with subdued quarterly earning results and a weak rupee pulled the key equity indices lower for a sixth straight session on Thursday.

Lately, outflows of foreign funds, caution on the fiscal slippage front have dampened investors’ sentiments.

The S&P BSE Sensex lost 157.89 points or 0.44 per cent to settle at 35,876.22 after it opened slightly higher from its previous close of 36,034.11, while the Nifty closed 47.60 points lower at 10,746.05.

However, S&P BSE Mid-cap gained 0.52 per cent while the Small-caps also surged 0.17 per cent after under performing for the past week.

“Market extended losses despite positive global market as investors continued to give more focus on domestic cues while assessing global developments. Moderation in WPI to 2.76 per cent in January provides an insight about the slowdown in the economy and earnings growth,” said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services.

Nair added that Mid and Small cap rebounded “after many days of correction, however investors are yet to find stability in the market in expectation of election outcome”.

According to Essel Mutual Fund’s CIO Viral Berawala, “WPI inflation came in at 2.76 per cent from 3.80 per cent on month-on-month basis due to decline in core inflation, leading to gains in banking stocks”.

“This selling combined with some profit booking in consumer sector led to markets trading weak,” Berawala said.

Yes Bank logged its sharpest intra-day gain after surging over 30 per cent following Reserve Bank of India’s clean chit on any divergence in bad loan reporting.

Scrips of the private lender closed 30.73 per cent higher at Rs 221 from its previous close of 169.05. It surged up to 32 per cent, touching an intra-day high of 223.70.

It was followed by Tata Motors (DVR), Tata Motors, Sun Pharma and IndusInd Bank inching up in the range of 1 to 4.5 per cent.

Bharti Airtel, Infosys, Asian Paints, Reliance Industries and Coal India declined 1 to 3 per cent.


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