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India still awaits Priyanka Gandhi’s ‘magic’

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New Delhi, Sep 25 : It was with much fanfare that the other scion of Gandhi family Priyanka Gandhi Vadra joined active politics in January this year, ahead of the Lok Sabha polls, with the Congress party pinning its hope on her formal entry to bring a “magical” turnaround in its fortunes.

Eight months have passed since then but her expected “magic” is nowhere to be seen and the grand old party continues to struggle.

Priyanka, who had been campaigning for her mother Sonia Gandhi and brother Rahul Gandhi in family pocket boroughs of Rae Bareli and Amethi in Uttar Pradesh for over one-and-a-half decade, joined active politics on January 23 when she was made Congress General Secretary in-charge of Eastern Uttar Pradesh.

Her formal entry came just three months ahead of the Lok Sabha elections and it was surrounded by a lot of euphoria that she would boost the party’s electoral prospects.

She marked her launch with a mega 17-km-long road show in Lucknow on February 11 in which the then Congress President Rahul Gandhi and other leaders like state unit chief Raj Babbar and AICC General Secretary in-charge of Western Uttar Pradesh Jyotiraditya Scindia also participated.

Subsequently, she held marathon meetings with the party activists to figure out the problems grappling it for decades in the state where it has been unable to come to power since 1989.

After spending three days in Lucknow, she returned to Delhi and remained away from the state till March 17, as a result of which the initial fizz lost steam.

However, she made dramatic appearances on two occasions – one, when she went with her brother to meet the family members of Pulwama terror attack martyr and second, when she went to meet Bhim Army chief Chandrasekhar Ravan in the state.

As the Lok Sabha elections inched closer, she went on a three-day river ride programme on Ganga from Allahabad to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s parliamentary constituency of Varanasi. During her campaign, she tried to connect with the communities of ‘mallah’ (boatmen) and weavers, residing on the banks of the river in Prayagraj, Mirzapur, Bhadohi and Varanasi.

After that she campaigned extensively for the party candidates across the state in over 22 other parliamentary constituencies, besides Rae Bareli and Amethi.

But despite all her road shows and public rallies in different parts of the state, the Congress could manage to win only Rae Bareli, represented by Sonia Gandhi, out of 80 Lok Sabha seats in the state.

The biggest shock came from Amethi Lok Sabha constituency, which Rahul Gandhi could not retain as Union Minister and BJP leader Smriti Irani won by a margin of 55,000 votes.

According to party leaders, Priyanka’s entry into politics boosted the morale of the Congress workers but she cannot convert crowds into votes.

A senior party leader said Priyanka managed to attract crowds during her road shows and public meetings, mainly because of her resemblance with her grandmother and former Prime Minister Indira Gandhi.

However, the votes remained negligible for the Congress candidates as in most of the places across the state losing margin with the BJP was more than 1.5 lakh to 2 lakh votes.

“After the Lok Sabha polls, Priyanka Gandhi, instead of taking the back seat like her brother, took the task to revive the party,” a party leader said.

She has been meeting party leaders and activists from the state twice a week since June this year and has so far met over 3,000 party leaders.

“She even formed the team of secretaries to get the real ground report from all the districts of the state on the causes for the party’s debacle,” the party leader said.

However, a Congress General Secretary said, “If Priyanka Gandhi is really serious about the revival of the party, then she needs to hit the streets like her grandmother did after the electoral loss in 1977 Lok Sabha elections.”

He went on to add, “She needs to come out of her comfort zone and twitter activism and lead the party workers on important issues on the streets.”

Disaster

Economy to grow only 0.3% in 2 years as India enters first technical recession

Due to a weaker-than-expected 2QFY21, we revise down our 3QFY21 and 4QFY21 growth forecasts.

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National debt under Modi govt surges

New Delhi, Nov 30: The Indian economy is forecast to show an average growth of only 0.3 per cent in two years as India enters its first technical recession, GDP could post further decline in 3QFY21.

As per a report by Motilal Oswal Financial Services, “Real GDP declined 7.5 per cent YoY in 2QFY21 (or 3QCY20), worse than our expectation, but better than the market consensus”.

Fiscal spending, consumption plus investments, posted its first major contraction since FY15 and is the worst on record. On the contrary, decline in private spending narrowed to -9.2 per cent in 2QFY21 from -35.4 per cent YoY in 1Q. The government and private sectors are naturally highly interlinked with each other, the report said.

A comparison of India with other major nations suggests India is no longer the worst affected economy — as the Philippines’ real GDP saw double-digit decline in 3QCY20 and decline was also higher in the UK and Mexico.

Due to a weaker-than-expected 2QFY21, we revise down our 3QFY21 and 4QFY21 growth forecasts.

“We now pencil in a decline of 1–2 per cent YoY in 3QFY21 (v/s a negligible decline earlier) and growth of 2–3 per cent YoY in 4QFY21 (v/s +4.2 per cent projected earlier). Accordingly, India’s real GDP is forecast to decline 7.5 per cent YoY in FY21 (v/s the previous forecast of -6.5 per cent ), but grow 8.5 per cent in FY22 (against 7.8 per cent growth expected earlier). This implies average growth of only 0.3 per cent in the two years,” the report said.

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India

Shiv Sena slams BJP, calls using water cannons on farmers amid cold wave cruel

The farmers have been protesting at Delhi’s borders since five days against the new farm laws and have said they will not accept any conditional dialogue.

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Farmers to Delhi

Shiv Sena on Monday slammed the BJP-led regime’s treatment meted out to protesting farmers, adding it was cruel to use water cannons on them amid a cold wave sweeping parts of north India.

The farmers have been protesting at Delhi’s borders since five days against the new farm laws and have said they will not accept any conditional dialogue and threatened to block all five entry points to the national capital.

“Our farmers are being treated as terrorists and attacked on Delhi borders while terrorists are killing our soldiers on the border in Kashmir,” an editorial in Shiv Sena mouthpiece Saamana said.

The Sena singled out Haryana Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar for claiming a Khalistani link in the protests.

“BJP wants to create anarchy. Khalistan is a closed chapter for which Indira Gandhi and General Arunkumar Vaidya laid down their lives,” it said.

“The government is using all its might to crush political opponents but why is this determination not seen while dealing with the country’s enemies,” it asked.

In the last one month, 11 soldiers from Maharashtra attained martyrdom while fighting enemies on the borders, the Sena said.

Referring to the giant statue of Sardar Patel “erected by PM Narendra Modi and Amit Shah” in Gujarat, the editorial said Patel was also a leader of farmers and led many farmers’ agitation against the British. “His statue’s eyes must be moist now seeing how farmers are being treated,” it said.

Central agencies like ED and CBI are being used as weapons against political opponents, the Sena said.

“These agencies should also get a chance to display their valour,” it said and suggested that (personnel of) ED and CBI should be deployed in Ladakhand Kashmir to help the Army fight India’s enemies.

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Disaster

Depression formed over southeast Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood

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Cyclone Storm Nisarga
  • It is very likely to intensify further into a Deep Depression during next 24 hours
  • It is also likely to intensify further into a cyclonic storm
  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places with isolated Extremely heavy falls very likely over south Tamilnadu and south Kerala
  • Sea condition will be rough to very rough over southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal
  • Fishermen are advised not to venture into southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal from 1st December night

According to the Cyclone Warning Division of the India Meteorological Department (IMD):

Latest satellite and Ship observations indicate that the well marked low pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal & neighbourhood concentrated into a Depression and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of 30th November 2020 over southeast Bay of Bengal about 750 km east-southeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka) and 1150 km east-southeast of Kanyakumari (India).

It is very likely to intensify further into a Deep Depression during next 24 hours. It is also likely to intensify further into a cyclonic storm. It is very likely to move west-northwestwards and cross Sri Lanka coast around evening of 2nd December. It is very like to move nearly westwards thereafter and emerge into Comorin area on3rd December morning.

Forecast track and intensity are given below:

:

Date/Time(IST)Position (Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph)Category of cyclonic disturbance
30.11.20/05307.5/88.040-50 gusting to 60Depression
30.11.20/17307.7/87.050-60 gusting to 70Deep Depression
01.12.20/05307.9/86.160-70 gusting to 80Cyclonic Storm
01.12.20/17308.1/84.865-75 gusting to 85Cyclonic Storm
02.12.20/05308.3/83.170-80 gusting to 90Cyclonic Storm
02.12.20/17308.5/81.570-80 gusting to 90Cyclonic Storm
03.12.20/05308.5/80.260-70 gusting to 80Cyclonic Storm
    

Warnings:

(i) Rainfall

  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places with isolated Extremely heavy falls very likely over south Tamilnaduand south Keralaon 2nd December, 2020 and Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall likely over these regions on 1st, 3rd and 4th December 2020.
  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall at Isolated places very likely over north Tamilnadu, Puducherry, Mahe&Kariakal and north Kerala during 2nd and 3rd December, 2020 and isolated heavy rainfall during 1st and 4th December.
  • Heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over south Coastal Andhra Pradesh during 2nd& 03rdDecember and over Lakshadweep during 03rd and 4th December, 2020.
Sub-Divisions30 Nov 2020*01 Dec 2020*02 Dec 2020*03 Dec 2020*04 Dec 2020*
South TamilnaduRainfall  at a few places Rainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy  rainfall at  isolated placesRainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at  few places and extremely heavy fall at  isolated places Rainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy  rainfall at  isolated placesRainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy  rainfall at  isolated places
North Tamilnadu, Puducherry &KaraikalRainfall  at isolated places Rainfall at a few places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at  isolated placesRainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy  rainfall at  isolated placesRainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy  rainfall at  isolated placesRainfall at many places with heavy fall at  isolated places 
 South KeralaRainfall  at isolated placesRainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy  rainfall at  isolated placesRainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at  few places and extremely heavy fall at  isolated places Rainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy  rainfall at  isolated placesRainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy  rainfall at  isolated places
 North Kerala &MaheRainfall  at isolated placesRainfall at many places with  heavy rainfall at  isolated placesRainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy  rainfall at  isolated placesRainfall at many places with heavy  rainfall at  isolated placesRainfall at a few places with heavy fall at  isolated places 
South Coastal Andhra PradeshRainfall  at isolated placesRainfall  at isolated placesRainfall  at a few places with heavy rainfall at isolated placesRainfall  at a few places with heavy rainfall at isolated placesRainfall  at a few places
LakshadweepRainfall  at a few placesRainfall  at a few placesRainfall  at most placesRainfall  at most places with heavy to very falls at isolated placesRainfall  at most places with heavy to very falls at isolated places

(ii) Wind warning

  • Squally Weather (wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) very likely over central parts of South Bay of Bengal on 30thNovember.
  • It would gradually increase becoming 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph over southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal from 1st December night and 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmphover southwest Bay of Bengal, along & off Sri Lanka coast and 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph over Comorin Area, Gulf of Mannar and Tamilnadu-Kerala coasts from 2nd December forenoon for subsequent 24 hours.
  • The squally wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph is very likely to prevail over Gulf of Mannar,along & off south Tamilnadu&Kerala coasts, Comorin Area, Lakshadweep-Maldives area and adjoining southeast Arabian Seafrom 3rd December morning for subsequent 24 hours.

 (iii) Sea condition

  • Sea condition will be rough to very rough over southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal from 1st December night and very rough to high gusting to 90 kmphover southwest Bay of Bengal, along & off east Sri Lanka coast and rough to very rough over Comorin Area, Gulf of Mannar and Tamilnadu-Kerala coasts from 2nd December forenoon for subsequent 24 hours.
  • Sea condition will be rough to very rough over Gulf of Mannar, along and off south Tamilnadu&Kerala coasts, Comorin Areafrom 2nd December morning and Lakshadweep-Maldives area and adjoining southeast Arabian Seafrom 3rd December morning for subsequent 24 hours.

(iv) Fishermen Warning

Fishermen are advised not to venture into southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal from 1st December night; over southwest Bay of Bengal, along & off east Sri Lanka coast, Comorin Area, Gulf of Mannar and Tamilnadu-Kerala coasts from 2nd December forenoon for subsequent 24 hours, over Gulf of Mannar, along & off south Tamilnadu& Kerala coasts, Comorin Area from 2nd December morning and over Lakshadweep-Maldives area & adjoining southeast Arabian Sea from 3rd December morning for subsequent 24 hours.

Also those who are out at Sea are advised to return to the coast by today.

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