Panaji, January 31: Just a few days to go and 40 seats in Goa assembly would go on polls in a single phase election on Saturday, February 4.
Despite Bhartiya Janta Party being the ruling party of the state, buzz is Goa based Maharashtrawadi Gomantak Party (MGP) and the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) could emerge as kingmakers in the upcoming polls.
The algorithm by experts at least points toward the scattered political upheaval in the ongoing election in the Goa Assembly.
There is a possibility wherein any of these two parties could emerge as the fourth largest party in the Sate after Congress, BJP and AAP being the top three runners. The Mathematics of Goa assembly is such that even four or five MLAs in the bag would bring the game for the MGP and NCP.
Confident of its stakes, MGP has clearly stated its chief ministerial candidate.
Anti-incumbency along with the other local factors point out that none of the top parties would come in Majority. Besides, these parties would not associate or collate and add to the unstructured political surface of Goa.
So, both MGP and NCP are riding strongly on popularity of a few of its local candidates rather than any particular ideology.
However the coalition of MGP and NCP with any of the major parties would be like adding to the political mix of Goa or initial breach of their initial political agenda. The MGP that was earlier a part of the current BJP-led coalition has adopted Hindutva-oriented stances. Leaving the alliance a month before the election, there have been some signals that point that it might ally with the Congress.
MGP is also close to the former RSS strongman Subhash Velingkar’s Goa Suraksha Manch which was formed in October after apparent clashes with BJP. He later on also quit the party and the RSS.
At the same time, there are reports that suggest despite being originated of Congress values, the NCP could go with the BJP. The Aam Aadmi Party’s has even claimed that NCP is a BJP’s plant.
The recent Padma Vibhushan Award to party supremo Sharad Pawar have also raised the speculations on BJP-NCP closeness in the Goa assembly for a possible alliance in future.
So the fractured scenario of Goa election stage apparently hints towards results that loom high on uncertain factors.
A party with a few MLAs could come as a big game changer. Looking back to the history, BJP emerged as a winner with 21 of the Assembly’s 40 seats last time with only 4 percent more votes than the Congress that could won only 9 seats.