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Global cues, inflation data to drive equity markets’ movements

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Mumbai, Aug 13:Risk emanating out of the growing geo-political tensions between US and North Korea, along with the ongoing domestic quarterly results season is expected to influence equity markets’ movement during the truncated week starting from August 14.

According to market observers, investors will look out for other major factors like macro-economic inflation data points, rupee’s movement and direction of the foreign funds’ flow.

“Markets would closely track the geo-political risks emanating from the US-North Korea tensions. The global risk appetite remains the key for the markets in the short term,” Devendra Nevgi, Chief Executive of Zyfin Advisors, told IANS.

“Domestic institutional investors continue to support the markets taking advantage of the recent dip. In other words, the market would be driven by global risk, support from domestic flows and earnings next week.”

Apart from global cues, investors’ risk-taking appetite is expected to be hampered by the subdued industrial output figures which were released after market hours on last Friday.

“The IIP figures were not exciting and the government’s mid-year economic survey cited new risks which can hinder economic growth,” Nevgi said.

Besides global cues, the ongoing quarterly earning results from the likes of Coal India, Future Consumer, Tata Power, Hindustan Zinc and LIC Housing Finance will player a major role in the general market dynamics.

“Currently, domestic confidence has fallen given Sebi’s action over shell companies which impacts the near-term liquidity,” said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services.

“However, market will be more concerned on any slowdown in business growth which will lead to downgrade in earnings’ forecast for the next 1 to 2 quarters.”

Apart from quarterly results, macro-economic inflation gauges — Consumer Price Index and Wholesale Price Index (WPI) — and the country’s trade deficit data will be keenly watched by investors.

“Going ahead market will also take cues from CPI and WPI inflation data. Any escalation of geopolitical tensions will have bearing on the market,” Nair said.

On technical levels, the NSE Nifty’s underlying trend has turned bearish with further downsides expected.

“Technically, with the Nifty correcting sharply this week and breaking the recent supports in the process, the underlying short term trend has turned down,” Deepak Jasani, Head, Retail Research, HDFC Securities, told IANS.

“Further downsides are likely early next week once the immediate supports of 9,668 points are broken. Pullback rallies could find resistance at 9,913 points.”

Last week, key equity indices — the Sensex and the Nifty50 — dived into the negative territory for the first time after five consecutive weeks of gains on the back of negative global cues, subdued quarterly earnings and foreign fund outflows.

Consequently, the 30-scrip Sensitive Index (Sensex) of the BSE declined by over 1,100 points or 3.40 per cent to close at 31,213.59 points.

Similarly, the Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) closed at 9,710.80 points, down 355 points or 3.53 per cent.

IANS

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Nearly 4% of GDP is lost due to malnutrition: Report

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Malnutrition
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New Delhi, Jan 21: India loses about 4 per cent of GDP (gross domestic product) to malnutrition and the trend can be reversed by focusing “on production diversity as well as food fortification at a macro level”, a research paper revealed on Sunday.

According to a joint paper published by industry body Assocham and consultancy firm EY, nearly four per cent of the GDP is lost due to different forms of malnutrition and that “women and children deserve a better deal in expenditure outlay”.

The report outlined that the country hosts 50 per cent of the world’s under-nourished children.

The paper quoted data from the National Family Health Survey-4 which showed that close to 60 per cent of children aged between 6 and 59 months are anaemic.

“It is only about 10 per cent of the country’s total children who are receiving adequate diet,” the research report said.

“The women and girl child, for whom the NDA Government has launched flagship programmes, are no better in terms of their daily nutrition intake. About 55 per cent of non-pregnant women and 58 per cent of pregnant women aged between 15-49 years are anaemic.”

Commenting upon the finding, Assocham’s Secretary General D.S. Rawat said the government needs to pursue policies which “focus on removing health and social inequities. Programmes and policies that aim to address the nutrition burden present a double-win situation”.

On the remedy-front, the paper said that in order to cater to the large unmet needs of micro-nutrients, “it is imperative to focus on production diversity as well as food fortification at a macro level”.

“For instance, millets are three to five times more nutritious than rice and wheat in terms of proteins, minerals and vitamins. They are cost effective crops as well; yet considered as poor people’s crop while rice and wheat are preferred over them,” the paper noted.

“Millets are rich in Vitamin B, calcium, iron, potassium, magnesium, zinc and are gluten-free. They are suitable for people with gluten allergies or those with high blood sugar levels.”

IANS

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Republic Day sales: Amazon, Flipkart fight it out with big discounts

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Amazon Flipkart

New Delhi, Jan 21: Top e-commerce players Amazon India and Flipkart are deepening their range of offerings at extreme discounts in the first online sale of the year starting today. While Amazon’s Great Indian Sale will go on till January 24, Flipkart’s Republic Day sale will shut shop earlier by 23 Jan.

With e-commerce becoming the default shopping choice for many, this season – last the previous editions – will see an influx of shoppers logging in to tap the online-exclusive deals.

The hard-to-miss offers this week will include: Mobile phones, Fashion & lifestyle, Home & dining and Large appliances.

Amazon, as usual, offered 12-hours early access to its Prime members starting the sale from Saturday afternoon (January 20).

Industry players believe that cash crunch at the end of the month remains no longer a problem with almost all e-commerce platforms and banks offering extra cashbacks and easy EMI options for customers to have a hassle-free shopping experience.

“Republic Day sales every year serve as a great way to kick start shopping in the new year. Marketing around the sale attracts consumers and encourages impulsive purchases,” Rohan Bhargava, co-founder of CashKaro.com, told IANS.

CashKaro is a partner to more than 1,500 e-commerce sites and provides its members with cashback offers on their online shopping at various sites like Flipkart, Amazon.in, Paytm and Shopclues.

“Even though it is the month-end, given the additional benefits around the sale, it is usually not a deterrent to purchases. Many banks give extra cashback and there are easy EMI options available through which customers can pay in installments,” Bhargava added.

Online marketplace ShopClues had already begun its sixth anniversary “Acche Din Sale” from January 19 targetting Republic Day to end the sale.

“Over 20 lakh products with whopping discounts, upwards of 66 per cent will be on offer, spread across categories like fashion and lifestyle, mobile phones, electronics and accessories, home and kitchen, and even its exclusive labels — Meia, Digimate and Homeberry,” ShopClues said in a statement.

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ONGC to buy government’s 51.11% stake in HPCL for Rs 36,915 cr

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ONGC

New Delhi, Jan 20: State-run Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd (ONGC) will acquire the government’s 51.11 per cent equity share-holding in Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL) at a consideration of Rs 36,915 crore.

Through the single share sale, the Centre would be able to meet half of its disinvestment target of Rs 72,500 crore for 2017-18.

“The Government of India has entered into an agreement with ONGC today (Saturday) for strategic sale of its 51.11 per cent equity share-holding in HPCL at a consideration of Rs 36,915 crore,” a statement said.

In line with the budget announcement, ONGC had proposed to acquire the Centre’s existing equity shareholding in HPCL.

Accordingly, the Union Cabinet, in its meeting held in July last year, gave “in-principle” approval to the proposal and decided to set up an alternative mechanism to decide on the price, timing and the terms and conditions of the strategic sale.

“The Alternative mechanism under the Chairmanship of Finance Minister (Arun Jaitley) in its meeting today (Saturday) approved the price bid of ONGC and the terms and conditions of the sale,” it said.

Through this acquisition, ONGC will become India’s first vertically integrated “oil major” company, having presence across the entire value chain.

According to the statement, the integrated entity will have advantage of having enhanced capacity to bear higher risks, take higher investment decisions and neutralising the impact of volatility of global crude oil prices.

“In this process, ONGC has acquired significant mid-stream and downstream capacity and will attain economies of scale at various levels of operations,” it said.

Through this economic consolidation, HPCL will join as a member of an integrated oil and gas major group. This will help it in further leveraging synergy at various levels of vertical value chains and look for economic consolidation within and outside the group.

HPCL will continue to be a Central Public Sector Enterprise (CPSE).

In fact, Prime Minister Narendra Modi had underlined the need of efficient management of government investments in CPSEs during the review in February 2016.

The centre accordingly expanded the approach from disinvestment to investment and public asset management.

As part of investment management strategy, Government decided to explore possibilities of consolidation, mergers and acquisitions within CPSE space.

IANS

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