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Equities extend gains on healthy macro-data, global cues

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Sensex

Mumbai, April 14: Key Indian equity indices — the BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty50 — extended their gains for the third consecutive week as healthy macro-economic data, along with firm global cues on the back of fading trade war fears boosted investors’ sentiments.

On a weekly basis, the barometer 30-scrip Sensitive Index (Sensex) of the BSE surged by 565.68 points or 1.68 per cent to close at 34,192.65 points.

The wider Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) closed trade at 10,480.60 points — up 149 points or 1.44 per cent from its previous week’s close.

“Markets rallied further this week after consolidating in the early part of the week. It was the third consecutive week of gains for the Nifty,” Deepak Jasani, Head – Retail Research, HDFC Securities, told IANS.

“The top sectoral gainers were IT, metal, Bank Nifty and energy indices. The top losers were PSU Banks, realty and pharma indices,” he added.

Prateek Jain, Director, Hem Securities, said: “Markets settled on a firm note last week as investors appeared confident in view of firm global cues. Stock markets across the globe rose after a speech by Chinese President Xi Jinping calmed investor jitters over an escalating US-China trade row.”

“Escalating tensions over Syria were seen as a major contributor to weakness during the middle of the week. The Sensex and the Nifty advanced in all five trading sessions of the week,” Jain told IANS.

On the domestic front, healthy Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Index of Industrial Production (IIP) data added to the northward trajectory of the benchmark indices.

“The domestic market continued to trade higher and the Nifty managed to cross 10,500 levels in the week gone by amid global clues and healthy macro data,” D.K. Aggarwal, Chairman and Managing Director of SMC Investments and Advisors, told IANS.

Official data released post market hours on Thursday showed that India’s March retail inflation eased to 4.28 per cent, while factory production growth slowed only marginally in February to 7.1 per cent.

“The fears of a trade war seem to have completely abated as of now,” Aggarwal said.

According to Aggarwal, the sentiments were further supported after securities market regulator Sebi decided to raise the investment limit for foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in central government securities and corporate bonds in two tranches.

“Limit for FPIs in central government securities shall be enhanced to Rs 207,300 crore on April 12 and to Rs 223,300 crore on October 1, respectively and this is sure to boost inflows of foreign funds into Indian capital markets,” he added.

On the investment front, provisional figures from the stock exchanges showed that foreign institutional investors sold scrips worth Rs 1,654.31 crore, while the domestic institutional investors purchased stocks worth Rs 815.06 crore during the week.

Figures from the National Securities Depository (NSDL) revealed that FPIs divested equities worth Rs 1,178.98 crore, or $182.25 million, during April 9-13.

The top weekly Sensex gainers were: Axis Bank (up 8.23 per cent at Rs 541.90); Tata Consultancy Services (up 6.82 per cent at Rs 3,151); Coal India (up 3.59 per cent at Rs 285.35); Infosys (up 3.52 per cent at Rs 1,169); and Larsen and Toubro (up 3.37 per cent at Rs 1,355.30).

The losers were: State Bank of India (down 3.31 per cent at Rs 251.20); Tata Motors (down 1.98 per cent at Rs 356.65); Bharti Airtel (down 1.97 per cent at Rs 377.80); Dr. Reddy’s Lab (down 1.75 per cent at Rs 2,087); and Tata Motors (DVR) (down 1.74 per cent at Rs 202.80).

IANS

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RSS affliates warn against farm loan waiver in interim budget

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Farmers Protest

New Delhi, Jan 21 (IANS) Four BJP governments in states had rolled out farm loan waiver schemes but RSS affiliates have strongly warned against these in the interim budget, saying such a move would only worsen the agrarian crisis and put further pressure on the banks.

This comes in the midst of speculation that the Narendra Modi government may be showering sops on farmers in its interim budget before the Lok Sabha polls.

Instead, the sangh parivar affliates want a social security net and various forms of assistance for the farmers.

With agrarian distress expected to be a major plank for the opposition and the Congress promise of farm loan waiver that helped it majorly in its victory in the Hindi heartland state, there are indications that the Modi government may walk a similar path making the February 1 exercise more significant than a vote on account.

Buoyed by the Congress coming to power in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, party President Rahul Gandhi has flayed Modi for waiving corporate loans while ignoring the plight of farmers. He has even asserted that an “united opposition will not let Modi sleep” until and unless farmers’ loans across the country were waived.

While the Congress’ farm loan waiver attracted much ridicule from Prime Minister Modi, it was he who had triggered the trend of waiving farm loans when ahead of Uttar Pradesh elections he had announced relief for the farmers in February, 2017. Subsequently the Yogi Adityanath-led BJP government announced a loan waiver package for around 86 lakh small and marginal farmers.

The BJP governments in Maharashtra and Rajasthan in 2018 had announced waiver of loans taken by small and marginal farmers.

Soon after the Congress executing its pre-poll promise of loan waiver in the three Hindi heartland states, the BJP regime in Jharkhand in December last followed suit, giving farmers financial assistance of Rs 5,000 per acre for the kharif season.

However, the Bharatiya Kisan Sangh (BKS), a sangh parivar affliate, asserts that the Modi government should desist from indulging in populist measures. Its has warned about pitfalls of farm loan waivers.

“The last thing the government should do is resort to farm loan waivers. Rather than being a solution, loan waiver would further deepen the miseries of our farmers. Indeed farmers are in distress and the way the opposition parties for their electoral sake, have raised the issue, the government may deem it to be a political compulsion. But it would be a mistake if it does so,” BKS organisational secretary Dinesh Kulkarni told IANS.

Explaining the opposition to the “short-cut” of loan waiver, Kulkarni said such a move only encourages the practice of defaulting on loans contending that only a handful of farmers benefit.

“The Congress governments in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh have waived farm loans but has it solved the crisis of the farmers. The only thing that it did is pressuring the banks and making them wary of giving further loans to the farmers,” Kulkarni said.

He said that unless there was holistic mechanism to ensure that farmers get the right price for their produce and middlemen are eliminated, the vicious circle of debt will continue.

“Loan waiver may halt the vicious debt circle for a short period of time but it won’t bring them out of that. Without a mechanism to make agriculture profitable or even allowing the farmers to recover their cost of production, they will be back to being debt ridden from the next season,” said Kulkarni adding that the government must sit with peasant bodies and other stakeholders to chalk out long term plans to resolve the agrarian distress.

Talking about its expectations from the budget, the RSS’ labour wing the Bharatiya Mazdoor Sangh (BMS) said the focus should be on expanding the social security net to the unorganised sector including agriculture workers and also advocated against farm loan waiver.

While admitting that the government may be inclined towards presenting a populist budget, BMS President C.K. Saji Narayanan said farmers should be incentivised to procure seeds , fertilisers and equipments rather than waiving their loans.

“Our farmers are in distress and indeed need lot of assistance from the government but loan waiver should be the last thing. Waiver as a short term measure is acceptable but then it has its long term effects on the economy which the government should guard against.

“The need is put up a mechanism to ensure that farmers gets right price of their produce. They should be given subsidy to purchase seeds, fertilisers and equipments instead of loan waiver,” Narayanan said.

A critic of the Modi government’s labour and economic policies, Narayanan said the budget should focus on giving relief to the middle class and urorganised sector workers.

“This government for most part of its tenure, has functioned like Congress-led UPA. But in the last year or so there has been substantial change in its attitude. However, with elections on the horizon, it may indulge in populist measures. But that doesn’t mean it should go for loan waivers.

Narayanan said the government in the budget should look to providing relief to the middle class and the workers in the unorganised sector.

“Our major demand is that the income tax exemption limit should be raised to Rs 10 lakh besides that we hope that government will no more neglect our workers especially contract labourers. In addition to hiking contract labour’s wages, unorganised sector has to be brought under social security net including agricultural labours,” he added.

While Prime Minister Modi and his government have been touting GDP growth as FDI inflow as its major achoevemnets, the Swadeshi Jagaran Manch (SJM), the economic wing of the RSS said, job-less growth was meaningless.

“GDP growth or FDI inflow should not be the parameters for development, what matters is how much employment is generated.

“As regards the agrarian crisis, the question is why our farmers are debt ridden, and answer to that question can never be loan waiver,” SJM National Co-Convener Ashwani Mahajan said.

He held the “historic neglect” of the agriculture sector by successive governments to be the core issue.

“Besides their persistent failure to even recover their cost of production, the steady rise of prices of farm inputs and farm equipments being under GST, has further pauperised the farmers,” he said.

He said instead of giving the farmers “alms” in form of loan waiver, the need was concrete policies aimed at reforming and reviving the farm sector and making it economically viable and profitable.

“There are large numbers of seasonal agricultural labourers who are rendered jobless for a large part of the year. The focus should be on rehabilitating them as also come with policies to make agriculture profitable.

Mahajan recommended giving major focus on food processing, oil seeds protection, change in crop production, subsidizing farm inputs.

“The one thing that must be immediately done is to exempt farm equipments from GST. We sincerely hope the government will use this budget to lay out long term plans to revitalize the economy and resolve the agrarian crisis instead of falling trap to electoral populism,” added Mahajan.

(Anurag Dey can be contacted at [email protected])

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Sensex ends 190 points higher

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SENSEX-

Mumbai, Jan 21: Amid healthy third quarter earnings, Sensex and Nifty ended on a firm note on Monday tracking similar trend in the global markets over easing trade tensions between the US and China.

Asian markets were upbeat although China reported a slowdown in its GDP growth rate.

China’s economy grew 6.6 per cent in 2018, the weakest annual performance since 1990, confirming a slowdown in the world’s second largest economy that could threaten global growth, according to official data on Monday. China’s growth was 6.8 per cent in 2017.

Energy, IT and oil and gas sectors gained while the key finance stocks ended lower.

The BSE Sensex closed higher by 192.35 points, or 0.53 per cent at 36,578.96 points, after touching a high of 36,701.03 and a low of 36,351.77 points.

The benchmark index opened higher on Monday, at 36,467.12 points, from its previous close of 36,386.61.

The broader Nifty50 also ended up by 54.90 points or 0.50 per cent at 10,961.85.

Stock-wise, Reliance Industries gained over 4 per cent on Sensex after it reported a healthy third quarter earnings last week.

It was followed by Kotak Mahindra Bank which reported a 22.57 per cent increase in its standalone net profit during the October-December quarter, following which, its shares gained 2.42 per cent.

Other top gainers were Sun Pharma, Bajaj Finance and Infosys.

In contrast, Hero MotoCorp and Yes Bank lost over 3 per cent while Maruti Suzuki, Power Grid and Bajaj Auto declined up to 2.07 per cent.

IANS

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Jaitley to be back to present Budget on Feb 1

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Arun Jaitley

New Delhi, Jan 21: Finance Minister Arun Jaitley, who is in the US for a medical check up, will return home on Friday, well ahead of the Budget presentation on February 1, official sources said.

“The Finance Minister is set to return on the evening of January 25,” said a senior official. “The interim budget will be presented by him for sure,” he said. He added that the process for printing of Budget documents began on Monday.

Jaitley, 66, left for the US on January 13 for what was believed to be a medical check-up relating to his kidney ailment. He had undergone a renal transplant surgery in May 2018.

However, there has been wide speculation that he may not be able to return early to present the interim budget, which will be his last before the general elections this year.

Jaitley had recently hinted that it may not be a simple interim budget or vote on account, which is generally the tradition in an election year. The full budget is presented by the new government after the elections.

“Ordinarily, there should be no reason why we should move away from that convention but there is a larger interest of the economy that always dictate what goes into that interim budget,” he said on Thursday.

Informed sources said that the government may roll out schemes to help increase farmers’ income, reduce farm input costs and raise credit flow to farmers.

Ministers of State for Finance Pon Radhakrishnan and Shiv Pratap Shukla on Monday held the annual pre-budget ritual, Halwa Ceremony, to mark the beginning of printing of Budget documents in the North Block, the seat of Ministry of Finance.

IANS

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