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Air India Express’ pilots’ decision to continue the flight dubious: Experts

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Air India

New Delhi/Mumbai, Oct 13 : Even as an official investigation into the Air India Express’ Trichy take-off incident has commenced, the aviation fraternity has cited the pilots’ decision as “dubious” and “dangerous” to carry on with the flight even after traffic controllers advised him otherwise.

The Air India Express’ aircraft scheduled to fly between Trichy and Dubai early Friday struck the instrument landing system’s (ILS) localiser antenna and then grazed the airport’s perimeter wall before flying off.

The flight carried 130 passengers and six crew members. It was subsequently diverted and it landed in Mumbai at 5.40 a.m. — four hours after it took off from Tiruchirappalli (Trichy). Its undercarriage suffered a deep gash.

Experts recall an incident on April 26, 1993, in which 55 people were killed on board an Indian Airlines plane in Aurangabad in Maharashtra when it crashed on take-off after apparently hitting a truck carrying cotton bales.

On Friday’s incident, air safety expert Captain Mohan Ranganathan told IANS: “The senior pilot’s decision to continue his flight onwards is dubious. The decision led to the loss of two hours of crucial on-board voice recording data (this instrument keeps such data only for two hours).”

“The in-cockpit conversation between the senior commander and the co-pilot at the time of the incident would have been stored in the voice recorder. However, as they landed in Mumbai after four hours of flying, the initial two-hour recording would have been lost,” said Ranganathan.

Apart from hitting the ILS antenna and scraping the perimeter wall at Trichy airport, the pilots’ biggest mistake was the decision to carry on with their flight.

“You can not risk flying over the sea with that type of damage to the aircraft’s structure. He should have either listened to the ATC or have informed the company via ACARS (aircraft communications addressing and reporting system). The latter, he couldn’t do as ACARS antenna was damaged at Trichy.”

The ACARS is used to transmit and receive messages from ground stations.

A few retired and serving pilots told IANS that in their experience, such an incident would have surely come to the notice of the flight’s commander and that his decision to fly on defies logic.

“At the ‘VR’ speed, when the aircraft is taking off at nearly 175 knots (300 km per hour), an incident like this would have been immediately noticed by the senior pilot,” a senior commander currently operating a Boeing aircraft told IANS.

“The rotating angle of take-off might have been completely altered by the first impact between the aircraft and the antenna, which might have brought a nose-down altitude, thus hitting perimeter wall, which is about 300 metres from the runway’s end, generally, and the aircraft should have attained a height of at least 35 to 50 feet above that point. This would not have escaped any pilot’s notice.”

“This is a clear case where the standard operating procedure has been violated. The SOP mandates the pilot to exhaust the fuel and land back safely. It does not imply to carry out the entire flight schedule. The pilot’s decision defies logic.”

However, industry insiders familiar with Boeing 737-800 aircraft pointed out that the damaged underbelly area was a pressurised and non-heated zone.

“Any penetration in the area could not have been detected by the aircraft’s instruments, but a deep leak in the strcuture could have led to loss of pressurisation and could have been fatal especially over the sea,” another pilot with an airline told IANS.

“Nonetheless, the damage would have increased the drag slightly. Now the question is: how much fuel consumption did this drag increase? Nowadays, when we are at a tight spot in terms of fuel usage, pilots notice even small changes in consumption trends.”

Notwithstanding the lucky escape at the time of the impact, flying all the way to Dubai could have also led to a disaster. As the aircraft would have consumed more fuel, leaving the plane with less-than-anticipated fuel, thus forcing it to divert to any nearby airport.

In addition to SOP lapses, questions have also been raised over the load factor status of the aircraft. An overload condition would not have allowed the aircraft to gain sufficient speed or power.

Also in question is the aircraft engines generating sufficient power to touch the required speed to take off and gain the needed height in the given circumstances.

On the investigation front, an Air India statement on Friday said officers of the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) have reached Trichy and so had Aircraft Accident Investigation Bureau officers.

Pending investigation, the airline has derostered both Captain D. Ganesh Babu and co-pilot and First Officer Captain Anurag.

IANS

Analysis

Invest in Augmented Intelligence for digital transformation: Gartner analyst

Gartner predicts that by 2023, 50 per cent of major enterprises will use digital twins of the organisation in combination with digital business platforms.

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New Delhi, Nov 16: Companies should focus on “Augmented Intelligence”, digital product management, and in creating a digital twin of an organisation (DTO) for their next level of digital transformation and boost in growth, a top Gartner analyst has said.

Augmented Intelligence is the step beyond Artificial Intelligence (AI), where you marry AI with human capability, Partha Iyengar, Vice President and Gartner Fellow, told IANS in a telephonic interaction.

The concept refers to implementation of AI not just as a replacement of human work through automation, but as a means to augment their abilities.

“Augmented Intelligence could be applied across processes, across verticals and even across job functions,” Iyengar said, adding that some organisations in India, including Indian Oil, have already started focusing on AI augmentation in a big way.

Globally, Singapore is at the forefront of implementing AI augmentation, according to Iyengar.

“They have created DTO where the organisation happens to be Singapore itself and there they are using Augmented Intelligence for a better future — providing healthcare, emergency services, improved citizen services, etc.”

With digital twins, organisations can simulate business processes and change things with the digital model first before supplying within enterprises, thereby helping them take better business decisions, Iyengar said.

Gartner predicts that by 2023, 50 per cent of major enterprises will use digital twins of the organisation in combination with digital business platforms.

According to a Gartner report, AI augmentation will generate $2.9 trillion in business value and recover 6.2 billion hours of worker productivity by 2021.

AI will create 2.3 million jobs in 2020, while eliminating 1.8 million, the report, titled “Predicts 2018: AI and the Future of Work”, said.

Starting in 2020, AI-related job creation will cross into positive territory, reaching two million net-new jobs in 2025, it added.

“In general, technology adoption in India is keeping pace with global trends. Increasingly, business leaders are thinking that technology could be a strong determinant for growth of their organisations and we are seeing that happening in India as well,” Iyengar said.

“The earlier separation that existed between business leaders and IT personnel are disappearing in Indian enterprises. That will accelerate technology adoption,” he added.

Implementation of AI augmentation could be all pervasive in India in three to five years, he said. But there are still a few barriers to technology-adoption in India, the biggest among which is culture, Iyengar added.

“The biggest obstacle is culture. The technology is the easier part, but adapting your enterprise culture to embrace and completely adopt the technology is the first barrier that we see,” he added.

Finding people with the right skills is the second barrier to technology adoption, he said.

“The third is the danger of chasing technology for technology’s sake. You need to have the organisation’s readiness in place before implementing new technology. You need to have very specific business use-cases to which you want the technology to be applied,” he added.

The silver lining, he added, was that Indian companies continue to have the highest technology budget in the world for the sixth year in a row.

“Technology budget is different from the IT budget. And even in IT budget, Indian companies lead the world,” he added.

According to the findings of the “2019 Gartner CIO Agenda survey”, the transformation toward digital business is supported by steady IT budget growth. Indian IT budgets are expected to grow by 3.9 per cent in 2019, which is less than the 7.4 percent growth rate of the previous year, showed the findings presented at the ongoing Gartner Symposium/ITxpo in Panaji, Goa.

This slowing can be attributed to the larger macro-economic situation concerning slow economic growth, corporate earnings and market volatility, the study showed.

Despite the slowdown, Indian IT budget would still be higher than the global average. Globally, CIOs expect their IT budgets to grow by 2.9 per cent in 2019, the findings showed.

IANS

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Analysis

Lakhs of towels, bedhseets missing from AC coaches – passengers are suspects

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New Delhi, Nov 15: Affluent AC passengers are the prime suspects as over 21 lakh towels, bedsheets, blankets and other items went missing from air-conditioned coaches during 2017-18 an official said.

The passengers are suspected to have made off with precisely 21,72,246 “bedroll items” — including 12,83,415 hand towels, 4,71,077 bedsheets and 3,14,952 pillow covers — from trains across the country in the last fiscal.

Besides, the Railways found 56,287 pillows and 46,515 blankets missing from the AC coaches in this period.

“Together, the missing items are estimated to cost over Rs 14 crore,” a senior Railway Ministry official told IANS.

While the theft of toilet mugs, taps, flush pipes and mirrors are also reported on a regular basis, the missing bedroll items in substantial numbers has posed a challenge for the Railways, which is trying to provide better amenities to upper class passengers.

Currently, about 3.9 lakh sets of linen are provided daily — this comprises two bedsheets, a towel, a pillow and a blanket for each passenger in the AC classes.

“The maximum number of items stolen are towels, followed by bedsheets, as reported by coach attendants at the end of each journey,” the official said.

In the light of the thefts, especially of towels, the Railways has decided that the face towels given to passengers travelling in air-conditioned coaches will be replaced with cheaper, smaller, disposable, takeaway napkins, said the official.

The Railways has already started changing the cover of blankets in some sections while the frequency of washing is being increased from monthly to fortnightly and weekly.

There is also a move to increase the frequency of washing of blankets to begin with and replacing the existing ones with the newly designed lightweight blankets made of soft fabric in a phased manner.

The plan envisages improvement of linen management with the aim of providing clean, hygienic and good quality linen to passengers travelling in AC classes, the official said.

Among the 16 zones of Indian Railways, the Southern zone alone accounted for the theft of 2,04,113 hand towels, 29,573 bedsheets, 44,868 pillow covers, 3,713 pillows and 2,745 blankets.

In the missing list, South Central zone has registered 95,700 towels, 29,747 pillow covers, 22,323 bedsheets, 3,352 blankets and 2,463 pillows.

In the Northern zone, 85,327 towels, 38,916 bedsheets, 25,313 pillow covers, 3,224 pillows and 2,483 blankets were found missing.

In the East Central zone, 33,234 bedsheets, 22,769 pillow covers, 1,657 pillows, 76,852 towels, and 3,132 blankets were stolen last year.

In the Eastern zone, 1,31,313 towels, 20,258 bedsheets, 9,006 pillow covers, 1,517 pillows and 1,913 blankets were reported missing by attendants after the end of the train journey.

The East Coast railways has registered 43,318 towels, 23,197 bedsheets, 8,060 pillow covers, and 2,260 blankets as missing.

IANS

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Analysis

Investment policy: Looking at 2019 and beyond

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Rupee currency

Given the current economic scenario of India, it would be prudent to have our eyes on the pressing issues that need the attention of the government over the next six years. Policy changes, new policies and an environment that facilitates investment will be vital.

The recent renewable energy auctions, which failed to attract significant bids, bring to the fore the crucial question around price caps. While providing low-cost electricity is essential, so is a sustainable power sector. The issue that merits more debate is whether a free-pricing market with a regulator that ensures no cartels are formed is a better solution in the long run than price caps.

This argument applies not only to renewable energy, but all sectors. Investors in any sector face variable dynamics across a variety of factors ranging from input prices, credit costs, research and development costs and foreign exchange risk. “Pricing” of a product or a service needs to consider all that goes into making or producing the product.

To give an example, drug pricing for a patented drug involves significant research and development costs. Therefore, the price of a drug needs to factor in a fair amount of analysis to determine the price over and above raw materials.

Similarly, for other sectors, it is vital that the rapid pace of growth and expansion can continue so that risk-taking businesses can get rewarded adequately. Extreme measures to control prices can lead to sector problems, thereby discouraging investments and research. Therefore, over the next few years, it is essential to strike a balance between low-cost products and services, and sustainable industry dynamics.

In the financial markets, India needs to further embrace mark-to-market valuations in the corners of the market that still utilise hold-to-maturity accounting. Banks hold certain financial instruments as hold-to-maturity from a regulatory perspective. Besides these instruments, the quicker the rest of the fixed income product universe moves towards mark-to-market regulations the more robust a capital market India will have.

While increased mark-to-market regulations might lead to an initial slowdown in the bond markets, the long-term benefits of a transparent credit pricing market far outweigh any short-term costs. The most significant advantage of stringent mark-to-market regulations will be the ability of market prices to be a better indicator credit risk of products, thereby encouraging effective risk management by investors and financial institutions alike.

Divestment of government assets to create new infrastructure will be crucial. The recent decision to approve the divestment of the government’s stake in the Dredging Corporation of India and the in-principle approval of the PPP model for six airports is a step in the right direction. However, to deliver valuable infrastructure, the government must ensure that non-tax revenue is used to develop infrastructure in the specific sectors where the divestment occurs, or the PPP happens. Enabling infrastructure creation that is industry-specific regarding both the divestment or partnership and in creating new assets will add significant value.

The agriculture sector will require focus with renewed vigour over and above minimum support prices and farm loan waivers. The sector is vital not just to improve the lot of farmers (who are at the riskiest end of the farm-to-fork model) but also to create avenues to feed a sizeable consuming population. The farm-to-fork model is much spoken about and needs a step-wise approach to succeed in the long-run.

A good start would be to choose sub-sectors within agriculture that are amenable to a farm-to-fork model so as to create a “model template”. A farm-to-fork model would involve procuring the original product, processing, storage and transportation, and merchandising the product. Choosing the low-hanging fruit to create templates will help expedite the process. More importantly, user-cases will help spot the gaps within the agricultural supply chain.

Government policies that create an effective pricing environment and avenues for revenue generation to enable investment and infrastructure will be crucial going forward. More importantly, long-term sustainable growth will require a balanced approach to help promote a broad spectrum of sectors such as energy, finance and agriculture.

BY  Taponeel Mukherjee

IANS

 

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